Purpose Every registered voter in HD63 receives two independent scores: a Soft Republican score and an Independent score. A voter can score high in both simultaneously. Scores are based entirely on publicly available vote history data — no modeling, no inference about beliefs. The scores reflect observable behavior patterns only.

Who this identifies Registered Republicans or R-leaning voters who show signs of disengagement, inconsistency, or frustration with their party. These are not ideological Democrats — they are voters whose loyalty to the Republican Party is weakening. In a cycle where GOP anger is high, these voters are movable.

Who this identifies Voters who have never declared a party through their primary ballot choices, but do participate in general elections. No party loyalty. These voters decide elections in close races. In Clermont and Brown Counties — with deep Yankee and Appalachian roots — many of these voters have an unaffiliated progressive instinct that predates the recent Republican dominance.

A voter can score in both categories simultaneously Example: A voter who pulled R in 2016 but X in 2020 and 2022, then didn't vote in 2024 — scores Soft R Medium. If they also never voted in a partisan primary before 2016 — they also score Independent High. Both scores are valid and both types of outreach apply.

What it means The Dropout Flag identifies the last general election a voter participated in. It applies to any voter who was previously active and has since stopped voting — regardless of their Soft R or Independent score. These are despondent voters, not apathetic ones. Something made them disengage. A personal contact or the right message can bring them back.